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IRWDIronwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait7.5·$3.61
Buy WaitHigh Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Elite Margins→Stable
  • Deep Value Low Multiple→Stable
  • Strong Growth Lumpy Revenue→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IRWD) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $3.42. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.61. Engine's entry $3.42 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for gastrointestinal (GI) and rare diseases in the United States and internationally. It sells linaclotide, a guanylate cyclase type-C (GC-C) agonist for the... Read more

QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield20.42%
Entry $3.42(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $3.28Target $5.18(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst consensus$6.10+69.0%4 analysts
$5.18our TP
$3.61price
$6.10mean
$10

Wait for pullback to $3.42. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.61. Engine's entry $3.42 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=healthcare 5/10). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)2.4
Mkt Cap$597M
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn33.4%
ROE—
Rev Growth32.6%
Beta0.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
Earnings in 6 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Healthcare 5/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.38Resistance $3.97

Price Targets

$3
$3
$5
A.Upside+43.6%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.9%
Max %3.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRWD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $3.42. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.61. Engine's entry $3.42 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Target $5.18 (+43.5%), stop $3.28 (−10.1%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the IRWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.18 (+43.6% upside). Target $5.18 (+43.5%), stop $3.28 (−10.1%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $3.28.

What are the risks of investing in IRWD?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is IRWD overvalued or undervalued?

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 2.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IRWD?

10 analysts cover IRWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies...

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for gastrointestinal (GI) and rare diseases in the United States and internationally. It sells linaclotide, a guanylate cyclase type-C (GC-C) agonist for the treatment of adults suffering from irritable bowel syndrome with constipation or chronic idiopathic constipation, as well as for pediatric patients suffering from functional constipation under the LINZESS and CONSTELLA names. The company is also developing IW-3300, a GC-C agonist for the treatment of visceral pain conditions, including interstitial cystitis/bladder pain syndrome and endometriosis; and Apraglutide, a synthetic peptide long-acting analog of glucagon-like peptide-2 for short bowel syndrome patients dependent on parenteral support, as well as for acute graft versus host disease. It has strategic partnerships with AbbVie Inc., AstraZeneca AB, and Astellas Pharma Inc. for the development and commercialization of linaclotide. The company was formerly known as Microbia, Inc. and changed its name to Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in April 2008. Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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