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IMXIInternational Money Express, InSell5.3·$14.32-1.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

International Money Express looks cheap on forward earnings multiples, but a severe earnings-quality red flag, a negative asymmetry setup at an already-reached price target, and extreme options volatility keep the risk/reward unfavorable despite the technical uptrend interpretation.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Pullback Within UptrendStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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International Money Express, In (IMXI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

International Money Express (Intermex) is an omnichannel money remittance company focused primarily on the U.S.-to-Latin-America-and-Caribbean corridor, processing $23.8 billion in principal and about 53.9 million remittance transactions in 2025 through over 100,000 agent... Read more

$14.32+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#85 of 111 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-14.71%
Stop $13.34Target $14.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$16.00+11.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About International Money Express, In

About International Money Express, In

Intermex processed approximately 53.9 million money remittance transactions totaling $23.8 billion in principal during 2025 through a network of over 100,000 independent sending and paying agents and 118 company-operated stores spanning the U.S., Canada, Spain, Italy, and Germany. The company's proprietary transaction-processing software achieved less than 0.05% downtime in 2025, and Intermex's largest corridor, the U.S.-to-Mexico remittance market, represented 18.6% of aggregate industry volume to Mexico in 2025.

Intermex earns money-transfer fees from consumers who send funds, sharing that revenue with sending agents in the originating country and paying agents, such as its largest paying agent Grupo Elektra, in the destination country; the company also earns fees from foreign-exchange spreads on remittances paid in non-pegged currencies and from Remittance-as-a-Service (RaaS) partnerships with digital platforms that use Intermex's money transmitter licenses and payer network. Cash management relies on a small set of banking relationships: US Bank manages Intermex's main operating account, while Wells Fargo and Bank of America serve as primary banks for foreign-exchange rate management. On August 10, 2025, Intermex agreed to be acquired by The Western Union Company for $16.00 per share in cash; the deal has cleared Hart-Scott-Rodino antitrust review, stockholder approval, and money-transmitter approval in 48 of 52 U.S. states and territories, with the Bank of Spain the only international regulator still pending as of the filing date.

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Intermex's payout network in Latin America carries counterparty concentration risk: Grupo Elektra, the company's largest paying agent, processes a significant portion of remittances across the LAC corridor, meaning any disruption to that relationship could impair Intermex's ability to complete payouts in its most important markets. The company's own disclosure frames this as part of a broader dependency, since a substantial portion of total revenue derives from transactions to just five countries - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and the Dominican Republic - so regulatory, currency, or political disruption in any one of those markets, or the loss of Elektra as a payer, could disproportionately affect results ahead of the pending $16.00-per-share Western Union merger closing.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From International Money Express, In's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: US Bank
Target reached (-5.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$426M
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth-14.9%
Beta0.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV145%elevated
Max Pain$8-44.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyUS Bank
    10-K Item 1: 'we have benefited from our long relationship with US Bank, which manages our main operating account, and from strong relationships with Wells Fargo and Bank of America, which serve as our primary banks for exchange rate management with respect to the foreign currencies in which we transact.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicLAC corridor (Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Dominican Republic)
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from our money remittance transactions from the United States to the LAC corridor, particularly Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and the Dominican Republic'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyGrupo Elektra
    10-K Item 1: 'Grupo Elektra, S.A.B. de C.V. ("Elektra") is our largest paying agent and processes a significant portion of remittances in the LAC corridor.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
2.2
Gross Margin
3.1
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Roa
5.1
Roe
5.6
Current Ratio
9.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -247% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
5.1
Value Rank
8.1
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.29Resistance $15.11

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -354.9%), Material insider selling (58 sells, 20.01% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMXI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.34. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMXI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.81 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.34. Stop-loss: $13.34.

What are the risks of investing in IMXI?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: US Bank; Target reached (-5.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is IMXI overvalued or undervalued?

International Money Express, In trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMXI?

10 analysts cover IMXI with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $16.

What does International Money Express, In do?International Money Express (Intermex) is an omnichannel money remittance company focused primarily on the...

International Money Express (Intermex) is an omnichannel money remittance company focused primarily on the U.S.-to-Latin-America-and-Caribbean corridor, processing $23.8 billion in principal and about 53.9 million remittance transactions in 2025 through over 100,000 agent locations and 118 company-operated stores. The company earns fees from consumers sending money, shared with sending and paying agents, plus fees from Remittance-as-a-Service digital partnerships; Intermex is under a pending merger to be acquired by Western Union for $16.00 per share in cash, expected to close in the second qu

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