Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit $8.02 (+30.0% upside). Prior stop was $5.74.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-37.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0); Target reached (-37.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Q: Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $4.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.07: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Below-average business quality.

$6.07+30.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services

Stop $5.74Target $8.02(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1

Analyst target$4.43-27.0%7 analysts

$8.02our TP

$6.07price

$4.43mean

Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-37.6% upside)

Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)20.2

Mkt Cap$2.0B

EV/EBITDA142.1

Profit Mgn-8.8%

ROE—

Rev Growth-0.6%

Beta2.06

DividendNone

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish

IV136%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.915%1.19

Quality1.715%0.26

Growth6.215%0.93

Momentum4.310%0.43

Sentiment4.610%0.46

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup5.35%0.27

Risk Profile3.25%0.16

Catalyst5.75%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)4.85

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

0.1

Current Ratio

2.3

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

0.6

Value Rank

9.4

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

46 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.00Resistance $8.18

Price Targets

A.Upside+32.1%

A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-37.6% upside)

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.07: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.74. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.02 (+30.0% upside). Prior stop was $5.74. Stop-loss: $5.74.

What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-37.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Hertz Global Holdings, Inc do?Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and...

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.