Value
7.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 24.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.22
- ▸Attractively valued
HTZ · Why this verdict
Why Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 0.4 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.1 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenue
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
7.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 3.6 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 1.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.7 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $248,346 (0.015% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.4 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 6.3 |
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 8.3 |
| 52w position | 2.1 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 7.1 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.4 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 2.9 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 40%
- ▸High IV: 97%
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.7=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.70
Upside
-20.6%
Downside
12.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.12>1.3, MCap $1.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.7 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.7, Growth at 7.5, and Catalyst at 6.4; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Quality at 2.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 2.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.70 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.