Willis Lease Finance Corporatio (WLFC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the WLFC stock price target?

Entry $187.08, take-profit $213.19 (+14.1% upside). Target $213.19 (+11.6%), stop $167.37 (−14.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1.

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5AI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 riskModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$191.00+14.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services

Entry $187.08(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $167.37Target $213.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1

Analyst target$190.00-0.5%1 analysts

Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $187.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $191.00. Engine's entry $187.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Material insider selling (21 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6

P/E (Fwd)10.4

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA11.0

Profit Mgn15.9%

ROE17.0%

Rev Growth27.8%

Beta0.75

Dividend0.82%

Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.815%1.32

Quality6.215%0.93

Growth7.815%1.17

Momentum4.810%0.48

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank6.410%0.64

Technical Setup6.75%0.34

Risk Profile5.15%0.26

Catalyst5.35%0.27

Overall (Σ contributions)6.23

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

36 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $174.90Resistance $217.54

Price Targets

$167

$187

$213

A.Upside+11.6%

A.R:R-1.5:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WLFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $187.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $191.00. Engine's entry $187.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $213.19 (+11.6%), stop $167.37 (−14.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $213.19 (+14.1% upside). Target $213.19 (+11.6%), stop $167.37 (−14.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $167.37.

What are the risks of investing in WLFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Material insider selling (21 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is WLFC overvalued or undervalued?

Willis Lease Finance Corporatio trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WLFC?

7 analysts cover WLFC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $190.

What does Willis Lease Finance Corporatio do?Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial...

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and leasing commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aircraft equipment, as well as the purchase and resale of commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft equipment, and service and maintenance related businesses. It also purchases and resells after-market engine parts, whole engines, engine modules, and portable aircraft components. The company serves commercial aircraft operators, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul organizations. Willis Lease Finance Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Coconut Creek, Florida.