Skip to main content
HRIHerc Holdings Inc.Sell6.1·$145.13+6.18%
Open full analysis

Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.13: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality.

Herc Holdings is one of North America's largest equipment rental suppliers with 602 locations, offering aerial, earthmoving, material handling, specialty, and contractor tools on daily/weekly/monthly terms. No single customer made up more than 3% of equipment rental revenue in... Read more

$145.13+1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.72%
IncomeYield1.93%Payout9333.33%at-risk
Stop $134.97Target $147.35(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$169.36+16.7%11 analysts
$147.35our TP
$145.13price
$169.36mean
$115
$206

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.13: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.3%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta1.90
Dividend1.93%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.94bearish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$65-55.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
5.6

Volatile — 5.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Put Call
0.4
Implied Vol
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.7
Short Interest
5.7
Days To Cover
7.4
Elevated put/call: 1.94High IV: 70%Above max pain $65

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.5
Gross Margin
2.5
Operating Margin
3.8
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $124.23Resistance $146.78

Price Targets

$135
$147
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.13: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $134.97. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.35 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $134.97. Stop-loss: $134.97.

What are the risks of investing in HRI?

Target reached (1.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is HRI overvalued or undervalued?

Herc Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HRI?

13 analysts cover HRI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $169.

What does Herc Holdings Inc. do?Herc Holdings is one of North America's largest equipment rental suppliers with 602 locations, offering aerial,...

Herc Holdings is one of North America's largest equipment rental suppliers with 602 locations, offering aerial, earthmoving, material handling, specialty, and contractor tools on daily/weekly/monthly terms. No single customer made up more than 3% of equipment rental revenue in 2025; national accounts represented 49% of equipment rental revenue. The 2025 acquisition of H&E Equipment Services added approximately 160 locations and significantly expanded the fleet.

Related stocks: WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporatio) · AER (AerCap Holdings N.V.) · PRG (PROG Holdings, Inc.) · GATX (GATX Corporation) · EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc)
Home Stocks HRI

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks54d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance55d agoEarnings
GuruFocus53d ago
StocksToTrade53d agoAnalyst
Timothysykes.com53d agoAnalyst
StockStory53d ago
International Business Times Australia53d ago
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng53d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai58d ago
MarketBeat50d ago
StockStory50d agoEarnings
FinancialContent50d agoEarnings
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La56d ago
Yahoo Finance53d ago
Benzinga46d agoAnalyst
Benzinga47d agoAnalyst
Benzinga48d agoEarnings
Benzinga48d ago
Benzinga48d agoEarnings
Benzinga48d ago
Loading more...