Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance
Wait for pullback to $30.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.72. Engine's entry $30.45 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away).
Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums written in 2025, operating via Lloyd's Syndicate 4000 and HIDAC (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re in Bermuda (48% of GPW). Investment returns... Read more
Wait for pullback to $30.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.72. Engine's entry $30.45 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of intermediaries10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on a limited number of intermediaries for a significant portion of our business'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-02Item 1.01MEDIUMHamilton Re entered new Investment Agreement with Two Sigma Hamilton Fund on April 1, 2026, committing minimum $1.8 billion or 60% of net tangible assets. Replaces prior 2023 Commitment Agreement.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 1.02MEDIUMPrior Commitment Agreement with Two Sigma dated July 1, 2023 (as amended January 1, 2025) terminated and replaced by new Investment Agreement effective April 1, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWMarc Roston designated as new Magnitude Investor board designee effective February 20, 2026, replacing H. Hawes Bostic III. Departure not related to any disagreement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $30.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.72. Engine's entry $30.45 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $33.05 (+4.2%), stop $28.81 (−10.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $33.05 (+8.5% upside). Target $33.05 (+4.2%), stop $28.81 (−10.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $28.81.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5.
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts cover HG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $33.
What does Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. do?Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums...
Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums written in 2025, operating via Lloyd's Syndicate 4000 and HIDAC (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re in Bermuda (48% of GPW). Investment returns are generated through a unique relationship with Two Sigma's TS Hamilton Fund.