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SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd.Buy Wait6.4·$21.85+0.60%
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SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Wait for pullback to $20.56. At $21.85 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

SiriusPoint is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer headquartered in Bermuda with two segments: Insurance & Services and Reinsurance. It earns revenue through underwriting, MGA service fees, and investments, generating $3.7B gross written premium and $12.6B in total assets... Read more

$21.85+10.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 5 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield18.19%
Entry $20.56(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $19.31Target $22.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1Setup A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$27.00+23.6%3 analysts
$22.95our TP
$21.85price
$27.00mean
$31

Wait for pullback to $20.56. At $21.85 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.5
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE23.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV106%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02LOW
    Sabra R. Purtill appointed to Board as Class I director effective March 25, 2026. Appointed to Audit Committee and Risk & Capital Management Committee. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Settlement Agreement with Rob Gibbs, President & CEO of SiriusPoint International, upon departure effective April 30, 2026. Severance of 401,700 GBP paid in 12 monthly installments inclusive of notice period and bonus.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Rob Gibbs, President & CEO of SiriusPoint International, departing as part of business restructuring into four global areas. Separation date and mutual separation agreement being finalized.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.38Resistance $24.32

Price Targets

$19
$21
$23
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPNT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $20.56. At $21.85 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $22.95 (+5.0%), stop $19.31 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.95 (+10.5% upside). Target $22.95 (+5.0%), stop $19.31 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $19.31.

What are the risks of investing in SPNT?

Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is SPNT overvalued or undervalued?

SiriusPoint Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.5 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SPNT?

11 analysts cover SPNT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does SiriusPoint Ltd. do?SiriusPoint is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer headquartered in Bermuda with two segments: Insurance &...

SiriusPoint is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer headquartered in Bermuda with two segments: Insurance & Services and Reinsurance. It earns revenue through underwriting, MGA service fees, and investments, generating $3.7B gross written premium and $12.6B in total assets in 2025.

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