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RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.Hold6.1·$298.27-0.87%
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RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $298.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance worldwide, plus third-party capital management via joint ventures (DaVinci, Fontana, Medici). Gross premiums written of $11.74B in 2025 (42% Property, 58% Casualty &... Read more

$298.27+7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 5 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield19.67%
IncomeYield0.55%(5y avg 0.75%)Payout2.71%sustainable
Entry $278.78(support + ATR)Stop $266.97Target $300.10(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$325.47+9.1%15 analysts
$300.10our TP
$298.27price
$325.47mean
$277
$401

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $298.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $298.56 has reached target $300.10. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.1
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.2%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth-36.6%
Beta0.19
Dividend0.55%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$240-19.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three brokerage firms (Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. and Arthur J. Gallagher) accounting for 81.3% of our gross premiums written'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at the May 5, 2026 Annual General Meeting, replacing the 2016 Prior Plan; 200,000 shares reserved plus remaining Prior Plan shares.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $275.23Resistance $306.22

Price Targets

$267
$279
$300
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $298.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $298.56 has reached target $300.10. No upside to wait for. Target $300.10 (+0.6%), stop $266.97 (−11.7%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $300.10 (+7.6% upside). Target $300.10 (+0.6%), stop $266.97 (−11.7%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $266.97.

What are the risks of investing in RNR?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RNR overvalued or undervalued?

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RNR?

23 analysts cover RNR with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $325.

What does RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. do?RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance...

RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance worldwide, plus third-party capital management via joint ventures (DaVinci, Fontana, Medici). Gross premiums written of $11.74B in 2025 (42% Property, 58% Casualty & Specialty); business is predominantly sourced through three major brokers.

Related stocks: SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) · HG (Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.) · EG (Everest Group, Ltd.) · RGA (Reinsurance Group of America, I)
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