Granite Construction Incorporat (GVA) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality.
Granite Construction is one of the largest US civil contractors and construction materials producers, operating in 17 states via Construction and Materials segments; Caltrans was the largest customer at 10.1% of 2025 total revenue ($446.6M). ~70% of Construction Segment revenue... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Granite Construction Incorporat
Latest news
- NEWS Granite Construction (GVA) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Granite Construction (GVA) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Granite Construction (GVA) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Here's Why We Think Granite Construction (NYSE:GVA) Might Deserve Your Attention Today - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 neutral
- NEWS Q4 Earnings Highlights: Granite Construction (NYSE:GVA) Vs The Rest Of The Construction and Maintenance Services Stocks — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerCaltrans10%10-K Item 1: 'Revenue recognized from contracts with Caltrans during the years ended December 31, 2025 ... represented $446.6 million (10.1% of total revenue)'
- HIGHCustomerfederal, state and local government agencies70%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 70% of our Construction Segment revenue in 2025 was derived from contracts funded by federal, state and local government agencies'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-18Item 1.02MEDIUMCompany entered Exchange Agreements to retire $100M of 3.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 for cash/stock consideration; total consideration based on 15-day VWAP from Feb 18, 2026 (all cash if VWAP ≤$140/share). Amendment corrected prior mislabeling as Item 1.03.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $133.05. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $145.46 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $133.05. Stop-loss: $133.05.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal, state and local government agencies (70.0%); Target reached (2.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Granite Construction Incorporat trades at a P/E of 38.3 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GVA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $167.
What does Granite Construction Incorporat do?Granite Construction is one of the largest US civil contractors and construction materials producers, operating in 17...
Granite Construction is one of the largest US civil contractors and construction materials producers, operating in 17 states via Construction and Materials segments; Caltrans was the largest customer at 10.1% of 2025 total revenue ($446.6M). ~70% of Construction Segment revenue comes from government agencies; Committed and Awarded Projects totaled $7.0B at Dec 31, 2025.