Granite Construction Incorporat (GVA) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal, state and local government agencies (70.0%).
Granite Construction is one of the largest vertically integrated civil contractors and materials producers in the U.S., building roads, highways, bridges, tunnels, and other public and private infrastructure. Approximately 70% of construction revenue comes from federal, state,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal, state and local government agencies (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal, state and local government agencies70%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 70% of our construction revenue was funded by federal, state and local government agencies and authorities.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-18Item 1.02MEDIUMGranite entered Exchange Agreements February 18, 2026 to exchange $100M aggregate principal of 3.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 for cash and/or stock based on 15-day VWAP measurement period. Termination/modification of material note agreement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal, state and local government agencies (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $129.39. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $135.06 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $129.39. Stop-loss: $129.39.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal, state and local government agencies (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away).
Granite Construction Incorporat trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GVA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $153.
What does Granite Construction Incorporat do?Granite Construction is one of the largest vertically integrated civil contractors and materials producers in the U.S.,...
Granite Construction is one of the largest vertically integrated civil contractors and materials producers in the U.S., building roads, highways, bridges, tunnels, and other public and private infrastructure. Approximately 70% of construction revenue comes from federal, state, and local government agencies. It also sells aggregates and asphalt through its Materials segment.