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EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.Hold5.8·$823.05+1.42%
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EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $823.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.7%.

EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of $16.99 billion 2025 revenue), building services (21%) and industrial services (7%) through approximately 100 operating subsidiaries. Operations are approximately... Read more

$823.05+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.43%
IncomeYield0.16%(5y avg 0.30%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Stop $765.44Target $870.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$1000.14+21.5%7 analysts
$870.12our TP
$823.05price
$1000.14mean
$1123

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $823.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.7%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$36.7B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.16%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.44bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $775.88Resistance $915.07

Price Targets

$765
$870
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EME stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $823.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.7%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $870.12 (+5.7%), stop $765.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EME stock price target?

Take-profit target: $870.12 (+5.7% upside). Target $870.12 (+5.7%), stop $765.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $765.44.

What are the risks of investing in EME?

Thin upside margin: 5.7%.

Is EME overvalued or undervalued?

EMCOR Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EME?

14 analysts cover EME with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1000.

What does EMCOR Group, Inc. do?EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of...

EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of $16.99 billion 2025 revenue), building services (21%) and industrial services (7%) through approximately 100 operating subsidiaries. Operations are approximately 97% U.S.-based following the December 2025 sale of UK operations, serving commercial, technology, healthcare, industrial and government customers.

Related stocks: DY (Dycom Industries, Inc.) · ROAD (Construction Partners, Inc.) · AGX (Argan, Inc.) · J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) · ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.)
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