Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the STRL stock price target?

Entry $446.71, take-profit $517.12 (+15.8% upside). Target $517.12 (-0.2%), stop $415.44 (−24.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1.

Breakout setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $518.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

$518.37+15.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#26 of 30 Engineering & Construction

Entry $446.71(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $415.44Target $517.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1

Analyst target$509.80-1.7%5 analysts

$517.12our TP

$518.37price

$509.80mean

$482

$572

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $518.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $517.80 has reached target $517.12. No upside to wait for. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.0

P/E (Fwd)32.3

Mkt Cap$15.8B

EV/EBITDA32.1

Profit Mgn11.7%

ROE32.0%

Rev Growth51.5%

Beta1.51

DividendNone

Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish

IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of significant customers
10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on a limited number of significant customers. Due to the size and nature of our contracts, one or a few customers have in the past and may in the future represent a substantial portion of our consolidated revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.215%0.48

Quality5.815%0.87

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum5.010%0.50

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity3.010%0.30

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile4.75%0.24

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)4.78

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda

0.0

2.3

Analyst Target

3.0

Forward Pe

3.5

Peg Ratio

4.0

6.0

Forward P/E: 32.3xPEG: 2.58

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $362.59Resistance $527.67

Price Targets

$415

$447

$517

A.Upside-0.2%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is STRL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $518.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $517.80 has reached target $517.12. No upside to wait for. Target $517.12 (-0.2%), stop $415.44 (−24.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STRL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $517.12 (+15.8% upside). Target $517.12 (-0.2%), stop $415.44 (−24.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $415.44.

What are the risks of investing in STRL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Is STRL overvalued or undervalued?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. trades at a P/E of 55.0 (forward 32.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STRL?

13 analysts cover STRL with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $510.

What does Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. do?Sterling Infrastructure operates through E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions segments in the US,...

Sterling Infrastructure operates through E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions segments in the US, primarily in Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, Rocky Mountain regions and Pacific Islands. E-Infrastructure serves data centers, semiconductor fabs, and power generation; Transportation covers highways and airports; Building Solutions provides residential concrete foundations. Revenue derives from fixed-unit price and lump-sum construction contracts.