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Dycom Industries, Inc. (DY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $421.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers.

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services for telecommunications and digital infrastructure across all 50 U.S. states through Communications (fiber, cable, wireless construction) and Building Systems (electrical and fire safety for data centers) segments. Revenue... Read more

$421.70-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $393.89Target $417.37(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$467.91+11.0%11 analysts
$417.37our TP
$421.70price
$467.91mean
$510

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $421.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)24.1
Mkt Cap$12.4B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth34.4%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersmall number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our revenues from a small number of customers, and the loss of one or more of these customers could adversely affect our revenues, results of operations, and liquidity. Our customer base is highly concentrated.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Raejeanne Skillern appointed to Dycom Industries Board of Directors effective March 24, 2026; term expires at 2026 Annual Meeting. No committee appointment made yet. Determined independent under NYSE standards. No arrangement or related party interest cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
9.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.7
Quality Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
7.3
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $338.48Resistance $425.89

Price Targets

$394
$417
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $421.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $393.89. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $417.37 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $393.89. Stop-loss: $393.89.

What are the risks of investing in DY?

Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Is DY overvalued or undervalued?

Dycom Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 24.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DY?

21 analysts cover DY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $468.

What does Dycom Industries, Inc. do?Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services for telecommunications and digital infrastructure across all...

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services for telecommunications and digital infrastructure across all 50 U.S. states through Communications (fiber, cable, wireless construction) and Building Systems (electrical and fire safety for data centers) segments. Revenue comes from master service agreements and project contracts with telecom carriers and hyperscaler customers.

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