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ECGEverus Construction Group, Inc.Hold6.0·$143.69+5.10%
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Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $143.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025 revenues through E&M (77%) and Transmission & Distribution (23%) segments, serving commercial, industrial, utility, and renewables customers across the U.S. The top... Read more

$143.69+2.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.39%
Stop $133.63Target $147.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$169.60+18.0%5 analysts
$147.55our TP
$143.69price
$169.60mean
$185

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $143.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)26.8
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA22.0
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV71%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersingle largest customer (~17% of revenues)17%
    10-K Item 1: 'with the top 10 customers contributing approximately 43% of our total operating revenues of $3.75 billion, with a single customer accounting for approximately 17% of total operating revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers43%
    10-K Item 1: 'with the top 10 customers contributing approximately 43% of our total operating revenues of $3.75 billion, with a single customer accounting for approximately 17% of total operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Deloitte & Touche LLP dismissed as independent auditor effective February 25, 2026 upon completion of FY2025 audit. Dismissal approved by Audit Committee on January 14, 2026 following a comprehensive selection process. New auditor to be named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.6
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $135.08Resistance $165.05

Price Targets

$134
$148
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $143.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $147.55 (+2.7%), stop $133.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.55 (+2.7% upside). Target $147.55 (+2.7%), stop $133.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $133.63.

What are the risks of investing in ECG?

Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is ECG overvalued or undervalued?

Everus Construction Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ECG?

11 analysts cover ECG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $170.

What does Everus Construction Group, Inc. do?Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025...

Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025 revenues through E&M (77%) and Transmission & Distribution (23%) segments, serving commercial, industrial, utility, and renewables customers across the U.S. The top 10 customers contributed ~43% of revenues, with one customer accounting for ~17% of total operating revenues.

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