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GISGeneral Mills, Inc.Sell4.9·$33.80-0.04%
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General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.80 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. and affiliates (22.0%).

General Mills is a global packaged food company selling cereals, snacks, meals, pet food, and yogurt under brands including Cheerios, Nature Valley, Blue Buffalo, Häagen-Dazs, and Old El Paso. It earns revenue through retail grocery, foodservice, and convenience channels in over... Read more

$33.800.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#19 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield12.54%
IncomeYield7.21%(5y avg 3.68%)Payout59.41%sustainable
Stop $31.98Target $33.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$37.56+11.1%18 analysts
$33.80our TP
$33.80price
$37.56mean
$30
$57

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.80 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. and affiliates (22.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 1, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. and affiliates (22.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$18.0B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE23.6%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta-0.04
Dividend7.21%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C22.20bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$100+195.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart Inc. and affiliates22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart Inc. and its affiliates (Walmart) accounted for 22 percent of our consolidated net sales and 31 percent of net sales of our North America Retail segment'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.9
Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
2.9
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.75Resistance $34.62

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.0% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-01 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.80 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. and affiliates (22.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $31.98. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the GIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.80 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $31.98. Stop-loss: $31.98.

What are the risks of investing in GIS?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. and affiliates (22.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.

Is GIS overvalued or undervalued?

General Mills, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIS?

28 analysts cover GIS with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $38.

What does General Mills, Inc. do?General Mills is a global packaged food company selling cereals, snacks, meals, pet food, and yogurt under brands...

General Mills is a global packaged food company selling cereals, snacks, meals, pet food, and yogurt under brands including Cheerios, Nature Valley, Blue Buffalo, Häagen-Dazs, and Old El Paso. It earns revenue through retail grocery, foodservice, and convenience channels in over 100 countries, with North America Retail as its largest segment.

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