Value
7.9/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.4 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.5x
- ▸Attractively valued
GIS · Why this verdict
Why General Mills (GIS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.9 |
| ROA | 3.5 |
| Gross margin | 2.6 |
| Op margin | 7.7 |
| Net margin | 6.0 |
| Current ratio | 2.3 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
1.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.4 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $958,195 (0.005% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 8.4 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 6.2 |
| 52w position | 2.6 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.4 |
| days to cover | 5.3 |
| volatility | 5.2 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 5.3 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| debt equity | 2.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 11.14
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 736.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:23d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (4)
- MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.4<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
- ANALYST_DOWNGRADE:HARD(3)
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.44
Upside
+2.6%
Downside
5.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.9) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.4<1.5@spot, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.44 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.9, Catalyst at 6.0, and Technical at 5.5; the weakest are Growth at 1.5, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.3, and Momentum at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 4 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.44 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.