Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (68.0%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing).
Freshpet manufactures and distributes fresh, refrigerated pet food sold through ~30,235 retail locations via company-owned Freshpet Fridges, reaching 15.2M US households as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from retail sales to major grocery, mass, pet specialty, and club... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (68.0%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Freshpet, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Freshpet (FRPT) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Freshpet (FRPT) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS FRPT Maintained by Jefferies -- Price Target Lowered to $70 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS FRPT (Freshpet) delivers Q4 2025 EPS beat and 13 percent revenue growth but shares dip 2 percent today. - Stock Analysis — Xã Thanh Hà positive
- NEWS Why Freshpet (FRPT) Outpaced the Stock Market Today - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerWalmart25%10-K Item 1: 'our largest customers, Walmart and Costco, accounted for 25% and 10% of our net sales, respectively'
- HIGHCustomertop-10 customers68%10-K Item 1A: 'ten customers, who purchase either directly from us or through distributors, collectively accounted for approximately 68.0% of our net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (68.0%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $48.97. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $74.14 (+40.8% upside). Prior stop was $48.97. Stop-loss: $48.97.
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (68.0%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing); Negative momentum.
Freshpet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 27.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover FRPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $82.
What does Freshpet, Inc. do?Freshpet manufactures and distributes fresh, refrigerated pet food sold through ~30,235 retail locations via...
Freshpet manufactures and distributes fresh, refrigerated pet food sold through ~30,235 retail locations via company-owned Freshpet Fridges, reaching 15.2M US households as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from retail sales to major grocery, mass, pet specialty, and club retailers with all US products manufactured domestically at three Freshpet Kitchens.