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FLGFlagstar Bank, N.A.Sell5.9·$14.94+2.75%
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Flagstar Bank, N.A. (FLG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across nine states with a loan portfolio heavily concentrated in multi-family and commercial real estate in the New York City metro area. Revenue comes from net... Read more

$14.94-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#72 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.28%(5y avg 5.73%)Payout20.99%sustainable
Stop $14.20Target $14.67(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$15.72+5.2%16 analysts
$14.67our TP
$14.94price
$15.72mean
$13
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: multi-family loans (47.7%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%)
Target reached (-5.3% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.03
Dividend0.28%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$7-53.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliomulti-family loans48%
    10-K Item 1A: '$29.0 billion or 47.7 percent of our total loans and leases held for investment portfolio consisted of multi-family loans'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York State multi-family55%
    10-K Item 1A: '$15.8 billion or 55 percent of our total multi-family loan portfolio was secured by properties in New York State'
  • LOWloan_portfoliouninsured deposits20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 20 percent of our total deposits were not FDIC-insured or collateralized by securities or letters of credit'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bank is a national banking association, subject to federal regulation and oversight by the Office of Comptroller of the Currency (the “OCC”)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Alessandro DiNello (director) not standing for re-election at June 2026 Annual Meeting. Eli H. Miller appointed to Board effective April 1, 2026 to fill resulting vacancy. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
7.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.08Resistance $14.97

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.20. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.67 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $14.20. Stop-loss: $14.20.

What are the risks of investing in FLG?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: multi-family loans (47.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%); Target reached (-5.3% upside).

Is FLG overvalued or undervalued?

Flagstar Bank, N.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLG?

22 analysts cover FLG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Flagstar Bank, N.A. do?Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across...

Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across nine states with a loan portfolio heavily concentrated in multi-family and commercial real estate in the New York City metro area. Revenue comes from net interest income on loans and wholesale funding channels including $11.2B in FHLB borrowings.

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