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Flagstar Bank, N.A. (FLG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York, operating approximately 340 locations across nine states with concentration in the New York/New Jersey metro region and upper Midwest. It primarily originates... Read more

$14.11+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#82 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $13.31Target $14.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$15.59+10.5%16 analysts
$14.62our TP
$14.11price
$15.59mean
$13
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%)
Target reached (-0.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.02
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$25+77.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliomulti-family loans48%
    10-K Item 1A: '$29.0 billion or 47.7 percent of our total loans and leases held for investment portfolio consisted of multi-family loans'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York State multi-family55%
    10-K Item 1A: '$15.8 billion or 55 percent of our total multi-family loan portfolio was secured by properties in New York State'
  • LOWPropertyoffice CRE loans21%
    10-K Item 1A: '$2.0 billion, or 21.0 percent of our CRE loan portfolio was secured by office buildings'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Alessandro DiNello will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting (June 9, 2026). Eli H. Miller appointed to the Board effective April 1, 2026, filling the resulting vacancy. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
7.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.42Resistance $14.92

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.31. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.62 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $13.31. Stop-loss: $13.31.

What are the risks of investing in FLG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%); Target reached (-0.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is FLG overvalued or undervalued?

Flagstar Bank, N.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLG?

22 analysts cover FLG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Flagstar Bank, N.A. do?Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York,...

Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York, operating approximately 340 locations across nine states with concentration in the New York/New Jersey metro region and upper Midwest. It primarily originates multi-family and commercial real estate loans concentrated in New York City, and commercial and industrial loans nationally, funded by retail deposits and wholesale borrowings.

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