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FIVNFive9, Inc.Sell5.4·$37.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion at 475% of net income and a PEG ratio of 0.18 signal deep fundamental value in a consistently executing business, but a confirmed death cross, falling volume accumulation, and a 12% short interest create material near-term technical risk that argues for patience despite the 21% upside to analyst targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Multiple↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Five9, Inc. (FIVN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.63: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83.

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through... Read more

$37.63-12.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#71 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.26%
Stop $35.00Analyst target $33.03(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$36.70-2.5%20 analysts
$37.63price
$36.70mean
$24
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.63: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-12.2% upside)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.63% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.5
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$20-46.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP of Product Engineering Panos Kozanian will transition out effective June 29, 2026, continuing to serve through at least September 4, 2026 reporting to a new CTO to be named by end of Q2 2026; eligible for Tier 3 severance absent for-cause termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Volatile — 5.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Put Call
1.1
Short Interest
2.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.9
Debt Equity
4.9
Days To Cover
6.2
Elevated put/call: 1.83High IV: 89%Above max pain $20

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
4.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.91Resistance $38.68

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.63% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.63: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $35.00. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVN stock price target?

Analyst target $33.03 reached (−12.2% from $37.63); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $35.00. Stop-loss: $35.00.

What are the risks of investing in FIVN?

Target reached (-12.2% upside); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.63% of cap).

Is FIVN overvalued or undervalued?

Five9, Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.5 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIVN?

29 analysts cover FIVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Five9, Inc. do?Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than...

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through subscription licensing plus usage-based telephony and consumption-based AI solution fees, with a 105% Annual Dollar-Based Retention Rate reflecting expansion within its existing customer base.

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