Skip to main content
FDUSFidus Investment CorporationHold5.6·$19.09
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Fidus Investment is a business development company with strong margins (45%) at an attractive valuation (forward P/E 9.4x), but price is within 0.8% of the $18.70 analyst target, momentum is weak and the high yield is flagged as unsafe.

Thesis pillars

  • High Margin Income Vehicle→Stable
  • Yield Trap Warning→Stable
  • Weak Momentum Pullback↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Fidus Investment Corporation is an externally managed business development company (BDC) that provides customized debt (first lien, second lien, subordinated) and equity financing to U.S. lower middle-market companies with $10-150 million in revenue and $5-30 million in EBITDA,... Read more

$19.09-2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#117 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.83%
IncomeYield11.21%(5y avg 9.86%)Payout106.25%at-risk
Stop $18.35Analyst target $18.70(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$21.50+12.6%5 analysts
$19.09price
$21.50mean
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Fidus Investment Corporation

About Fidus Investment Corporation

Fidus Investment Corporation, an externally managed BDC, held debt and equity investments in 103 lower middle-market portfolio companies worth $1.3 billion in aggregate fair value as of December 31, 2025, up from $1.1 billion across 91 companies a year earlier. Information Technology Services made up 35.7% of the portfolio's fair value, the largest of nineteen industry segments, while the Southeast U.S. accounted for 29.1% of fair value, the largest of six geographic regions; the weighted average yield on debt investments was 12.6%.

Fidus invests primarily in first lien, second lien, and subordinated debt to U.S. companies with $10 million to $150 million in revenue and $5 million to $30 million in EBITDA, typically committing $5 million to $35 million per portfolio company, often paired with warrants or minority equity stakes. Two wholly owned subsidiaries, Fidus Mezzanine Capital III and IV, hold SBA-guaranteed SBIC licenses that let Fidus borrow low-cost, long-term fixed-rate SBA debentures, capped at $350 million in aggregate for commonly controlled SBICs, subsidizing returns relative to competitors funded solely with bank or public debt. Fidus Investment Advisors, LLC manages the portfolio under an Investment Advisory Agreement, earning a 1.75% annual base management fee on total assets plus a two-part incentive fee — 20% of pre-incentive-fee net investment income above a 2% quarterly hurdle, and 20% of cumulative realized capital gains net of losses. The portfolio spans nineteen industry segments and six geographic regions, with Information Technology Services (35.7% of fair value) and the Southeast U.S. (29.1%) as the largest single concentrations in an otherwise diversified book.

Show full overview

Fidus has no employees of its own; the entire investment process — sourcing, underwriting, structuring, and monitoring — sits with Fidus Investment Advisors under an Investment Advisory Agreement the 10-K describes as something the company's relationship with its advisor is governed by and dependent on, with fee terms and conflicts of interest that the independent directors must review annually. That external-management dependency sits alongside a portfolio that, while diversified across 103 companies, has more than a third of its fair value concentrated in Information Technology Services and nearly 30% concentrated in the Southeast U.S. — so a downturn specific to either that sector or that region would weigh on results more than a proportionate diversified allocation would suggest.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Fidus Investment Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.2
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$759M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn45.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.73
Dividend11.21%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.22Resistance $19.61

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FDUS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $18.70 reached (−2.0%), stop $18.35 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FDUS stock price target?

Analyst target $18.70 reached (−2.0% from $19.09); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $18.70 reached (−2.0%), stop $18.35 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $18.35.

What are the risks of investing in FDUS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is FDUS overvalued or undervalued?

Fidus Investment Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FDUS?

11 analysts cover FDUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Fidus Investment Corporation do?Fidus Investment Corporation is an externally managed business development company (BDC) that provides customized debt...

Fidus Investment Corporation is an externally managed business development company (BDC) that provides customized debt (first lien, second lien, subordinated) and equity financing to U.S. lower middle-market companies with $10-150 million in revenue and $5-30 million in EBITDA, investing through two SBIC-licensed subsidiaries that access SBA-guaranteed debenture leverage capped at $350 million. As of December 31, 2025, the company held debt and equity investments in 103 portfolio companies with an aggregate fair value of $1.3 billion, a 12.6% weighted average debt yield, and a portfolio concen

Related stocks: GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust, Inc. (The) · HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · CII (BlackRock Enhanced Large Cap Co) · TWN (Taiwan Fund, Inc. (The)) · FFA (First Trust Enhanced Equity Inc)
Home › Stocks › FDUS

Latest news

Latest News

Dars.gov.et92d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
Seeking Alpha85d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail79d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance91d agoEarnings
MarketBeat91d agoEarnings
TradingKey91d ago
Finance.yahoo.com84d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance84d agoEarnings
TipRanks84d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com84d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com84d agoEarnings
The Manila Times84d agoEarnings
TradingKey84d agoEarnings
MarketBeat82d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha80d ago
Seeking Alpha80d ago
Loading more...