Skip to main content
SBACSBA Communications CorporationSell5.0·$200.09-3.81%
Open full analysis

SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $200.09, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.7%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South America, Central America, and Africa, leasing space primarily to wireless carriers under long-term contracts. Site leasing generated 97.9% of total segment... Read more

$200.09+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#10 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.42%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 1.44%)Payout48.21%
Stop $188.08Target $211.59(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$235.10+17.5%20 analysts
$211.59our TP
$200.09price
$235.10mean
$280

Sell if holding. At $200.09, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.7%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.7%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)24.7
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA19.9
Profit Mgn35.7%
ROE
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta0.98
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 240.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $193.83Resistance $219.06

Price Targets

$188
$212
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $200.09, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.7%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $188.08. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SBAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.59 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $188.08. Stop-loss: $188.08.

What are the risks of investing in SBAC?

Thin upside margin: 5.7%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SBAC overvalued or undervalued?

SBA Communications Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SBAC?

27 analysts cover SBAC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $235.

What does SBA Communications Corporation do?SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South...

SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South America, Central America, and Africa, leasing space primarily to wireless carriers under long-term contracts. Site leasing generated 97.9% of total segment operating profit in 2025; T-Mobile, AT&T Wireless, and Verizon Wireless are the three primary domestic tenants.

Related stocks: DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.)
Home Stocks SBAC

Latest news

Latest News

MSN47d ago
Investing.com47d ago
GuruFocus47d ago
GuruFocus54d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat54d agoAnalyst
Investing.com Australia55d agoMerger Acquisition
GuruFocus55d ago
MarketWatch61d ago
Yahoo Finance61d agoEarnings
GuruFocus68d agoMerger Acquisition
MSN68d ago
Bitget68d ago
MarketBeat48d ago
MarketBeat48d ago
MarketBeat49d ago
The Globe and Mail56d agoAnalyst
MarketWatch69d ago
Kalkine Media69d ago
Seeking Alpha69d ago
GuruFocus69d agoAnalyst
Loading more...