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DKLDelek Logistics Partners, L.P.Sell6.4·$56.76
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Delek Logistics has surging revenue and insider buying, but it trades well above the analyst target with a negative cash-flow red flag and inconsistent earnings, which leaves limited upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Negative Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.76 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates... Read more

$56.76-18.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#7 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.28%
IncomeYield8.03%(5y avg 8.92%)Payout155.36%at-risk
Stop $54.58Analyst target $46.40(reached)A.R:R -3.6:1
Analyst consensus$53.33-6.0%6 analysts
$56.76price
$53.33mean
$36
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.76 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth56.2%
Beta0.45
Dividend8.03%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.04bearish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerDelek Holdings
    10-K Item 1A: 'Delek Holdings is a primary customer for a many of our assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Joseph Israel departed as EVP, Refining and Renewables effective April 20, 2026. Amber Russell appointed EVP, Refining effective April 20, 2026; previously SVP at bp Solutions and SVP of Refining, Terminals, and Pipelines at bp.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior revolving credit facility and term loan under the Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Fifth Third Bank as administrative agent was terminated upon entering a new $1.3 billion revolving credit agreement with Truist Bank on March 26, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -3.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.09Resistance $57.90

Price Targets

A.Upside-18.3%
A.R:R-3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.3% upside)
! News modifier -2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.76 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $54.58. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DKL stock price target?

Analyst target $46.40 reached (−18.3% from $56.76); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $54.58. Stop-loss: $54.58.

What are the risks of investing in DKL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is DKL overvalued or undervalued?

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DKL?

13 analysts cover DKL with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. do?Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil,...

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Gathering and Processing, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling, Storage and Transportation, and Investments in Joint Ventures. It offers tanks, offloading facilities, and trucks and ancillary assets that provide crude oil, hydrocarbon-based products, intermediate and refined products transportation, and storage services. Delek Logistics GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Delek Logistics Partners, LP was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates as a subsidiary of Delek US Holdings, Inc.

Related stocks: PARR (Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm) · UGP (Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne) · PBF (PBF Energy Inc.) · DINO (HF Sinclair Corporation) · DK (Delek US Holdings, Inc.)
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