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DINOHF Sinclair CorporationBuy Wait5.8·$71.26+1.95%
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HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Wait for pullback to $67.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $71.26. Engine's entry $67.48 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable... Read more

$71.26+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.75%
IncomeYield2.81%(5y avg 3.36%)Payout30.03%sustainable
Entry $67.48(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $62.53Target $72.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$74.27+4.2%15 analysts
$72.89our TP
$71.26price
$74.27mean
$54
$87

Wait for pullback to $67.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $71.26. Engine's entry $67.48 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta0.71
Dividend2.81%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV64%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Atanas Atanasov terminated effective immediately May 13, 2026. Acting CFO Vivek Garg (VP, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller) had been serving since February 24, 2026. No disagreement with company practices cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Timothy Go reached a Separation and Release Agreement effective May 11, 2026, and resigned from the Board. Acting CEO Franklin Myers (Board Chairperson) had been serving since February 17, 2026. Departure not due to any disagreement with company operations or practices.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation arrangements approved for Acting CEO Franklin Myers: $9,000 monthly cash stipend and approximately $105,000 monthly in RSU grants, commencing February 17, 2026, approved by the Compensation Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.25Resistance $74.38

Price Targets

$63
$67
$73
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DINO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $67.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $71.26. Engine's entry $67.48 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $72.89 (+2.3%), stop $62.53 (−14.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DINO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.89 (+7.7% upside). Target $72.89 (+2.3%), stop $62.53 (−14.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $62.53.

What are the risks of investing in DINO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Is DINO overvalued or undervalued?

HF Sinclair Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DINO?

22 analysts cover DINO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $74.

What does HF Sinclair Corporation do?HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five...

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, commodity and modified asphalt products, and others. It also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Wyoming, Washington, and Utah, as well as markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, the company supplies fuels to 1,700 branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 350 additional locations, as well as provision of other marketing activities. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum sector. Additionally, it offers hydrocarbon chemicals, including white oils, petrolatums, and waxes. The company also exports its products. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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