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Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $103.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak growth.

The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a diversified worldwide entertainment company with operations in three segments: Entertainment, Sports and Experiences.

$103.75+11.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#15 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $99.61Target $115.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$128.25+23.6%29 analysts
$115.43our TP
$103.75price
$128.25mean
$77
$160

Sell if holding. At $103.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.5Qual4.5Grw2.5Mom3.8Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer5.6Tech4.4Risk6.65.1OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$183.8B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta1.44
Dividend1.45%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$65-37.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit Number | | Description 99.1 | | [Press Release dated February 24, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1744489/000174448926000025/fy2026_q2xxneodeparturepre.htm) 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * Signatures Pursuant to the ...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.1
Revenue Growth
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
7.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $95.33Resistance $107.11

Price Targets

$100
$115
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $103.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $99.61. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.43 (+11.2% upside). Prior stop was $99.61. Stop-loss: $99.61.

What are the risks of investing in DIS?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is DIS overvalued or undervalued?

Walt Disney Company (The) trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DIS?

37 analysts cover DIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Walt Disney Company (The) do?The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a...

The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a diversified worldwide entertainment company with operations in three segments: Entertainment, Sports and Experiences.

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