Value
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.7 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.6 |
| PEG | 4.2 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.3x
- ▸PEG: 2.33
DIS · Why this verdict
Why Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.7 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.4 |
| Op margin | 6.2 |
| Net margin | 5.8 |
| Current ratio | 2.7 |
| FCF quality | 2.7 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 33% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
2.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.1 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
1.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.0 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 31%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.7 |
| quality rank | 7.4 |
| growth rank | 3.6 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.6 |
| support resistance | 9.5 |
| 52w position | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.3 |
| days to cover | 7.9 |
| volatility | 7.4 |
| put call | 1.6 |
| implied vol | 7.5 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.4 |
| debt equity | 8.4 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.76
- ▸Above max pain $75
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.5 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 150.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:3.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.1<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
3.60
Upside
+18.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.39>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.7 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.1<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.60 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.4, Sentiment at 7.9, and Value at 7.0; the weakest are Momentum at 1.1, Growth at 2.0, and Quality at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.60 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.