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FOXFox CorporationSell5.0·$49.15-16.58%
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Fox Corporation (FOX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Fox Corporation is a US news, sports, and entertainment company with two reportable segments: Cable Network Programming (FOX News, FOX Business, FS1, FS2, Big Ten Network) and Television (FOX broadcast network, Tubi AVOD, 29 owned TV stations). Revenue comes from affiliate fees... Read more

$49.15+23.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#19 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.68%
IncomeYield0.95%(5y avg 1.39%)Payout14.74%sustainable
Stop $46.86Target $60.72(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$24.8B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE15.2%
Rev Growth-8.6%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.95%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$40-18.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.4
Declining revenue: -9%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (3.8x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.31Resistance $61.96

Price Targets

$47
$61
A.Upside+23.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $46.86. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.72 (+23.6% upside). Prior stop was $46.86. Stop-loss: $46.86.

What are the risks of investing in FOX?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is FOX overvalued or undervalued?

Fox Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOX?

28 analysts cover FOX with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does Fox Corporation do?Fox Corporation is a US news, sports, and entertainment company with two reportable segments: Cable Network Programming...

Fox Corporation is a US news, sports, and entertainment company with two reportable segments: Cable Network Programming (FOX News, FOX Business, FS1, FS2, Big Ten Network) and Television (FOX broadcast network, Tubi AVOD, 29 owned TV stations). Revenue comes from affiliate fees and advertising, with FOX News as the top-rated cable news network for 20+ consecutive years.

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