Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. At $77.12, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%).
Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence in 100+ countries and ~20,000 employees. Revenue is generated from ATMs, cash recyclers, self-service kiosks, software, and services primarily to financial... Read more
Sell if holding. At $77.12, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicinternational operations76%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, revenue from international operations amounted to approximately 76% of total revenue'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWDiebold Nixdorf designated SVP/Chief Accounting Officer Jeffrey Sesplankis as principal accounting officer effective February 24, 2026. Thomas Timko continues as EVP/CFO and principal financial officer. Sesplankis joined as CAO in January 2025.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $77.12, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $71.43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $82.17 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $71.43. Stop-loss: $71.43.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Negative momentum.
Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated trades at a P/E of 26.5 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover DBD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $97.
What does Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated do?Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence...
Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence in 100+ countries and ~20,000 employees. Revenue is generated from ATMs, cash recyclers, self-service kiosks, software, and services primarily to financial institutions and retailers; in 2025, approximately 76% of total revenue came from international operations.