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Deutsche Bank AG (DB) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It... Read more

$31.28+22.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#109 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $29.70Target $38.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$45.00+43.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 44%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$59.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.7%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta1.03
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C6.58bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$22-29.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
3.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.34Resistance $34.32

Price Targets

$30
$38
A.Upside+22.3%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $29.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.25 (+22.4% upside). Prior stop was $29.70. Stop-loss: $29.70.

What are the risks of investing in DB?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is DB overvalued or undervalued?

Deutsche Bank AG trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DB?

25 analysts cover DB with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Deutsche Bank AG do?Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and...

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Private Bank, and Asset Management segments. The Corporate Bank segment offers cash management services, such as integrated payments and FX solutions; trade finance and lending offerings, including documentary and guarantee business, and structured trade finance and lending; and depository receipts, corporate trust, document custody, and securities services. The Investment Bank segment provides financing solutions in industries and asset classes; institutional sales, trading, and structuring in foreign exchange, rates, emerging markets, and credit trading; liquidity, market making services, and specialized risk management solutions for fixed income and currencies products; and advisory and financial products and services. This segment is also involved in the mergers and acquisitions business; and capital markets businesses in debt and equity. The Private Bank segment offers a range of payment and account services, and credit and deposit products, as well as investment advice, and postal and parcel services; and planning, managing and investing wealth, financing personal and business interests, and servicing institutional and corporate needs. The Asset Management segment provides access to investment capabilities in active and passive asset classes comprising Xtrackers range and alternatives; and access to private equity, private credit, real estate, and infrastructure. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1870 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

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