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PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, InHold6.2·$101.71
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pinnacle Financial Partners is a regional bank with 156% year-over-year earnings growth, an attractive forward P/E of 8.1x with a PEG of 0.13, and an industry-leading growth score of 10/10 — trading at a modest 9.2% implied upside with acceptable asymmetry for a cautious hold position.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Growth↑Improving
  • Attractive Valuation For Growth→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Track Record↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In (PNFP) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue... Read more

$101.71+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#73 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.01%(5y avg 1.05%)Payout20.39%sustainable
Stop $97.25Analyst target $109.23(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$121.36+19.3%22 analysts
$109.23Analyst target
$101.71price
$121.36mean
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth139.1%
Beta1.03
Dividend2.01%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.72bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$130+27.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioC&I loans42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'commercial and industrial loans accounted for approximately 41.8% of our total loans'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsoutheastern United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations are principally geographically concentrated in certain markets in the southeastern United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBHG
    10-K Item 1A: 'BHG's results of operations are a meaningful portion of our results of operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.59Resistance $102.09

Price Targets

$97
$109
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNFP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $109.23 (+7.4%), stop $97.25 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNFP stock price target?

Analyst target: $109.23 (+7.4% upside). Analyst target $109.23 (+7.4%), stop $97.25 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $97.25.

What are the risks of investing in PNFP?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Overbought (RSI 76).

Is PNFP overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PNFP?

27 analysts cover PNFP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $121.

What does Pinnacle Financial Partners, In do?Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at...

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue comes from commercial and consumer lending, fee-based services, and a 49% equity stake in Bankers Healthcare Group, which provides specialty loans to healthcare practitioners.

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