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CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings, Hold5.6·$24.32-0.02%
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Clearwater Analytics Holdings, (CWAN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Clearwater Analytics provides cloud-native investment accounting, portfolio management and risk analytics software, serving 2,500+ clients with over $10 trillion of assets on its platform. The company charges recurring Base+ fees tied to assets managed, generating a gross... Read more

$24.32-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#53 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.21%
Stop $24.20Target $23.94(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$24.47+0.6%7 analysts
$23.94our TP
$24.32price
$24.47mean
$24
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clearwater Analytics Holdings,

About Clearwater Analytics Holdings,

Clearwater Analytics aggregated over $10 trillion of global invested assets across 2,500+ client portfolios at December 31, 2025, processing data from more than 4,900 daily data feeds and four million modeled securities across 60+ local currencies and 45 accounting bases. The platform supported over 900 AI agents and connected to approximately 2,700 custodians and more than 700 managers. A December 2025 merger agreement valued CWAN at approximately $8.4 billion in a transaction led by Permira and Warburg Pincus.

Revenue accrues primarily through recurring fees structured under the Base+ contracting model—a base fee for the client's existing book of business plus incremental charges tied to asset increases, additional products and managed services. The Base+ model is designed to limit fee-base volatility by anchoring fees on high-grade fixed income and structured assets that historically exhibit lower volatility. The net revenue retention rate has exceeded 100% since 2019, and the gross revenue retention rate has remained at least 98% in 27 of the past 28 quarters. In 2025, CWAN completed acquisitions of Beacon (risk management), Enfusion (front-office IBOR, portfolio and order management) and an asset purchase of Blackstone's Bistro private credit visualization platform. The company estimates its total addressable market at $23 billion globally, including $10 billion from asset management, $6 billion from insurance and $3 billion from hedge funds.

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CWAN's single-instance, multi-tenant architecture creates a self-reinforcing data advantage: each new client enriches the shared dataset, which the company describes as a meaningful competitive advantage for accuracy across the platform. The practical switching cost is reflected in the 98%+ gross retention rate—replacing an investment accounting system integrated with approximately 2,700 custodians and 700 managers would require significant client-side operational disruption. If the pending merger with Permira and Warburg Pincus closes as expected in the second quarter of 2026, CWAN would be taken private at $24.55 per share; if conditions prevent closure, the 10-K notes the stock price may decline.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Clearwater Analytics Holdings, 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Clearwater Analytics Holdings,

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA73.5
Profit Mgn-5.8%
ROE-3.1%
Rev Growth74.4%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.52bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$15-38.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
9.8
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.3
Forward Pe
4.4
Forward P/E: 28.2x
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.31Resistance $24.43

Price Targets

$24
$24
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CWAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $23.94 (-1.6%), stop $24.20 (−0.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CWAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.94 (-1.6% upside). Target $23.94 (-1.6%), stop $24.20 (−0.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $24.20.

What are the risks of investing in CWAN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Expensive valuation.

Is CWAN overvalued or undervalued?

Clearwater Analytics Holdings, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CWAN?

15 analysts cover CWAN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Clearwater Analytics Holdings, do?Clearwater Analytics provides cloud-native investment accounting, portfolio management and risk analytics software,...

Clearwater Analytics provides cloud-native investment accounting, portfolio management and risk analytics software, serving 2,500+ clients with over $10 trillion of assets on its platform. The company charges recurring Base+ fees tied to assets managed, generating a gross revenue retention rate of at least 98% in 27 of the last 28 quarters.

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