Legacy Housing screens as attractively valued with strong margins and a breakout technical setup, but revenue is declining, an earnings-quality red flag shows weak cash conversion, and the stock has already reached its price target with an unfavorable stated risk/reward.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Quality Cash Conversion Flag→Stable
- Attractive Valuation→Stable
- Declining Revenue Weak Growth→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.93. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.64 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $23.93. Stop-loss: $23.93.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.
Legacy Housing Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover LEGH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $26.
What does Legacy Housing Corporation do?We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent...
We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located in Bedford, Texas (between Dallas and Fort Worth). We completed our initial public offering in December 2018 and our common stock trades on The Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol "LEGH."