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SKYChampion Homes, Inc.Hold5.1·$77.64+3.24%
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Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual... Read more

$77.64+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 16 Residential Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.47%
Stop $72.21Target $78.88(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$90.67+16.8%6 analysts
$78.88our TP
$77.64price
$90.67mean
$75
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Champion Homes, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 3, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: 99.1 | [Press Release issued by Champion Homes, Inc. on June 2, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/90896/000119312526253964/sky-ex99_1.htm) 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities ...
  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On May 31, 2026, Tawn Kelley resigned as Chair and a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc. (the "Company"), effective immediately. Ms.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)18.7
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.23bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$140+80.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 2, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
5.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
4.7
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.87Resistance $79.67

Price Targets

$72
$79
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $78.88 (+1.6%), stop $72.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the SKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.88 (+1.6% upside). Target $78.88 (+1.6%), stop $72.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $72.21.

What are the risks of investing in SKY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is SKY overvalued or undervalued?

Champion Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 18.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SKY?

10 analysts cover SKY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Champion Homes, Inc. do?Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated...

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual Report.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
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