CNH Industrial's business quality sits below the investment minimum with no identified competitive advantage, revenue in slight decline, and a flagged dividend yield trap; analyst consensus implies roughly 12% upside at a PEG of 0.61, but quality and execution concerns keep the risk/reward from being actionable at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Threshold No Moat→Stable
- Analyst Consensus Implies Meaningful Upside→Stable
- Revenue Contraction Growth Absent→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026
CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.29: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality.
CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands, and construction equipment under CASE and New Holland Construction brands, through Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services segments. The captive... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.29: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — CNH Industrial N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS CNH Executive to Participate in 'AI in Manufacturing' Panel at The ASSEMBLY Show — fiscal.ai Oct 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CNH Industrial Schedules 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Release — fiscal.ai Oct 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on CNH Industrial, Raises Price Target to $14 — benzinga Oct 19, 2026 positive
- NEWS FTC, USDA Seek Public Comment On Agricultural Equipment Manufacturing, Distribution Market Practices — benzinga Oct 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Truist Securities Maintains Buy on CNH Industrial, Raises Price Target to $17 — benzinga Oct 5, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOWBoard members Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer notified the Board on March 24, 2026 they will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited. Successors nominated: Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.29: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.50. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $12.83 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $10.50. Stop-loss: $10.50.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 45.2 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.
What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands,...
CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands, and construction equipment under CASE and New Holland Construction brands, through Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services segments. The captive financing arm, CNH Capital, provides retail and wholesale financing to dealers and end customers across subsidiaries in 32 countries.