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CNHCNH Industrial N.V.Sell4.4·$10.74+0.56%
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CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.74: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction equipment (CASE, New Holland Construction) globally through operations in 32 countries and commercial presence in ~166 countries. The company also provides captive... Read more

$10.74+11.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#12 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.87%
IncomeYield0.94%(5y avg 2.54%)Payout78.13%
Stop $9.99Target $11.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$13.31+23.9%19 analysts
$11.97our TP
$10.74price
$13.31mean
$10
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.74: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — CNH Industrial N.V.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.4
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$13.2B
EV/EBITDA35.3
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.23
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer notified Board they will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli nominated as replacements. No disagreement with Company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
1.6
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
4.9
Current Ratio
8.1
Earnings quality warning: 64% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
5.4
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.74Resistance $11.18

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.74: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $9.99. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.97 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.99. Stop-loss: $9.99.

What are the risks of investing in CNH?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is CNH overvalued or undervalued?

CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 33.4 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNH?

25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction...

CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction equipment (CASE, New Holland Construction) globally through operations in 32 countries and commercial presence in ~166 countries. The company also provides captive financing through its Financial Services segment; the agricultural equipment market is in a cyclical downturn in 2025-2026.

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