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CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.60: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial presence in approximately 166 countries and operations in 32 countries. Revenue comes from equipment sales in Agriculture and Construction segments and from... Read more

$10.60+18.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#11 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $9.84Target $12.49(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$13.88+30.9%18 analysts
$12.49our TP
$10.60price
$13.88mean
$10
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.60: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$13.3B
EV/EBITDA36.8
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV50%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited. Successors nominated: Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
1.6
Operating Margin
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.7
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
5.4
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.94Resistance $11.79

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+17.8%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.60: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $9.84. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.49 (+18.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.84. Stop-loss: $9.84.

What are the risks of investing in CNH?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CNH overvalued or undervalued?

CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNH?

25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $14.

What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial...

CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial presence in approximately 166 countries and operations in 32 countries. Revenue comes from equipment sales in Agriculture and Construction segments and from Financial Services providing retail and wholesale financing to dealers and customers.

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