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CLXClorox Company (The)Sell4.7·$88.00-0.87%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Clorox has a credible earnings beat track record and solid peer-relative standing, but the stock has run into a natural ceiling with less than 3% of room remaining to the consensus target, free cash flow conversion is critically weak at 8% of net income, and a confirmed downtrend with a death cross in place argues for patience rather than new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Free Cash Flow Quality ConcernStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Blocks EntryImproving
  • Limited Upside To Consensus CeilingImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Clorox Company (The) (CLX) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. At $88.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

The Clorox Company is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of consumer and professional products, including Clorox bleach and cleaning products, Glad bags and wraps, Fresh Step cat litter, Kingsford grilling products, Hidden Valley foods, Brita water filtration, and Burt's... Read more

$88.00+3.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#17 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.04%
IncomeYield5.70%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout103.12%at-risk
Stop $83.15Target $90.69(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$100.76+14.5%17 analysts
$90.69our TP
$88.00price
$100.76mean
$77
$154

Sell if holding. At $88.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 3, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clorox Company (The)

About Clorox Company (The)

The Clorox Company generated $7.1 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025 across four reportable segments - Health and Wellness, Household, Lifestyle, and International - with over 80% of sales from brands holding the No. 1 or No. 2 share position in their categories. Cleaning products made up 44% of consolidated net sales, followed by bags and wraps (15%), food products (12%), and cat litter (10%). U.S. markets generated 86% of net sales, and Walmart accounted for 27% as the largest customer.

Clorox sells its namesake bleach and cleaning products, Pine-Sol and Tilex cleaners, Liquid-Plumr clog removers, Glad bags and wraps, Fresh Step cat litter, Kingsford charcoal, Hidden Valley dressings and sauces, Brita water filters, and Burt's Bees personal care products through mass retailers, grocery outlets, warehouse clubs, dollar stores, home hardware centers, and e-commerce, largely via a direct sales force domestically and through subsidiaries, licensees, distributors, and joint ventures internationally, while CloroxPro and Clorox Healthcare serve professional and institutional customers through a broker network. The Glad bags and wraps joint venture with Procter & Gamble, in which P&G holds a 20% interest, is set to wind down by January 31, 2026, after which Clorox will buy out P&G's stake at a contractually determined fair value while retaining royalty-free rights to P&G's core intellectual property. The company sources raw materials - resin, non-woven fabrics, sodium hypochlorite, corrugated cardboard, soybean oil, and agricultural commodities - from numerous suppliers, some sole- or single-source, and uses supply and forward-purchase contracts to manage price volatility. Clorox is also mid-way through a $570-580 million multi-year ERP and digital transformation, with U.S. implementation beginning in fiscal 2026 after a successful Canada rollout.

Show full overview

A leadership signal outside the 10-K's numbers: on May 26, 2026, Chair and CEO Linda Rendle asked the Board to launch a CEO search after deciding to step down for health reasons, and will continue serving as Chair and CEO - then in an advisory role - only until a successor is named, meaning Clorox enters this search without an internal successor yet identified. The transition lands as the company is still absorbing its U.S. ERP rollout and the pending Glad joint-venture buyout from P&G, two multi-year initiatives Rendle had been overseeing, so the incoming CEO inherits both a leadership gap and a set of unfinished structural changes rather than a steady-state business.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Clorox Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.3%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Leverage penalty (D/E 22.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE163.8%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta0.54
Dividend5.70%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Vol Acceleration
2.9
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 3, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flatVolume surge (2.1x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
3 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.72Resistance $109.42

Price Targets

$83
$91
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $88.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 3, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $83.15. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the CLX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.69 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $83.15. Stop-loss: $83.15.

What are the risks of investing in CLX?

Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Leverage penalty (D/E 22.2): -1.5.

Is CLX overvalued or undervalued?

Clorox Company (The) trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLX?

27 analysts cover CLX with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Clorox Company (The) do?The Clorox Company is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of consumer and professional products, including Clorox...

The Clorox Company is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of consumer and professional products, including Clorox bleach and cleaning products, Glad bags and wraps, Fresh Step cat litter, Kingsford grilling products, Hidden Valley foods, Brita water filtration, and Burt's Bees personal care, with fiscal 2025 net sales of $7.1 billion across four reportable segments (Health and Wellness, Household, Lifestyle, International). Over 80% of sales come from brands holding the No. 1 or No. 2 market share position in their categories; 86% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from U.S. markets, and Walm

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