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CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.Hold4.9·$188.14+2.20%
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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in 2025, operating NAST (North American surface transport), Global Forwarding (ocean/air), and sourcing segments, serving 75,000 customers via 450,000+ contract... Read more

$188.14-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#8 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.96%
IncomeYield1.37%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout50.61%sustainable
Stop $176.02Target $185.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$197.04+4.7%24 analysts
$185.48our TP
$188.14price
$197.04mean
$90
$230

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$21.7B
EV/EBITDA26.1
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
4.0
Declining revenue: -1%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $149.88Resistance $189.27

Price Targets

$176
$185
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $185.48 (-1.4%), stop $176.02 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the CHRW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $185.48 (-1.4% upside). Target $185.48 (-1.4%), stop $176.02 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $176.02.

What are the risks of investing in CHRW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CHRW overvalued or undervalued?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHRW?

31 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $197.

What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in...

C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in 2025, operating NAST (North American surface transport), Global Forwarding (ocean/air), and sourcing segments, serving 75,000 customers via 450,000+ contract carriers. Earns spread between customer freight charges and carrier payments; manages ~37 million shipments annually.

Related stocks: ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.) · PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) · FDX (FedEx Corporation) · GXO (GXO Logistics, Inc.) · EXPD (Expeditors International of Was)
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