C.H. Robinson brings four straight earnings beats with rising analyst estimates, but the stock trades just 0.4% below its near-term price target, producing an unfavorable risk/reward, while declining revenues and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.0 suggest the setup favors patience rather than new exposure at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat With Rising Estimates↓Deteriorating
- Target Reached Unfavorable Asymmetry↑Improving
- Declining Revenue No Moat↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $127.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $127.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - Trefis — Trefis negative
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - trefis.com — trefis.com negative
- NEWS A Look at C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) After 11.1% Decline -- GF Value $103.66 vs Price $127.60 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOWOn May 29, 2026, the Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer Arun Rajan: performance stock units valued at $6 million (target) and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million. Routine retention/performance award; no departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $127.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $120.21. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $165.37 (+29.8% upside). Prior stop was $120.21. Stop-loss: $120.21.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $184.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North...
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between shipper charges and carrier costs, serving 75,000 customers through a network of 450,000 contract carriers managing 37 million annual shipments.