C.H. Robinson brings four straight earnings beats with rising analyst estimates, but the stock trades just 0.4% below its near-term price target, producing an unfavorable risk/reward, while declining revenues and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.0 suggest the setup favors patience rather than new exposure at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat With Rising Estimates→Stable
- Target Reached Unfavorable Asymmetry↑Improving
- Declining Revenue No Moat→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - Trefis — Trefis negative
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - trefis.com — trefis.com negative
- NEWS C.H. Robinson to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in the Cards? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T05:18:55Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOWOn May 29, 2026, the Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer Arun Rajan: performance stock units valued at $6 million (target) and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million. Routine retention/performance award; no departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $138.87. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $180.11 (+22.6% upside). Prior stop was $138.87. Stop-loss: $138.87.
Weak growth; Negative momentum.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.3 (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $200.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North...
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between shipper charges and carrier costs, serving 75,000 customers through a network of 450,000 contract carriers managing 37 million annual shipments.