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PBIPitney Bowes Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$18.50+4.75%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pitney Bowes has seen earnings estimates rise 42% in the past 30 days — the strongest positive revision signal in the dataset — and converts 152% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock is already at its analyst target with no upside remaining and near a 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Estimate Revision AccelerationImproving
  • Superior Cash ConversionStable
  • Target Exhaustion At 52w HighDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Wait for pullback to $16.86. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.50. Engine's entry $16.86 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$18.50-17.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 13 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.65%
IncomeYield2.24%(5y avg 3.88%)Payout31.73%sustainable
Entry $16.86(support + ATR)Stop $16.08Target $18.69(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$17.14-7.4%5 analysts
$18.69our TP
$18.50price
$17.14mean
$15
$20

Wait for pullback to $16.86. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.50. Engine's entry $16.86 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.61
Dividend2.24%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.32bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.40%=EXTREMEMomentum 7.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.58Resistance $19.07

Price Targets

$16
$17
$19
A.Upside-17.8%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $16.86. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.50. Engine's entry $16.86 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $18.69 (+1.0%), stop $16.08 (−15.0%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.69 (-17.8% upside). Target $18.69 (+1.0%), stop $16.08 (−15.0%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.08.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PBI?

8 analysts cover PBI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

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