Chord Energy screens as deeply discounted — forward P/E of 8.1 times with a near-zero PEG ratio and 38% year-over-year revenue growth — but business quality sitting just below the minimum acceptable floor alongside heavy crude-oil and Williston Basin concentration means the attractive entry point carries significant commodity and quality risk.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
- Geographic Commodity Concentration→Stable
- Deep Value Entry Point→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%).
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Chord Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning Chord Energy Stock In The Last 10 Years - Benzinga — Benzinga neutral
- NEWS Short Interest in Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Declines By 27.8% - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Chord Energy (CHRD) Institutional Ownership 2026 - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Why Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Might be Well Poised for a Surge - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Chord Energy Drops 6.2% Amid Sector-Wide Selling - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet negative
Generated 2026-10-30T12:27:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
- MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $163.69 (+6.5%), stop $143.97 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.8/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $163.69 (+6.5% upside). Analyst target $163.69 (+6.5%), stop $143.97 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $143.97.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%.
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
25 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $182.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.