Skip to main content
CHRDChord Energy CorporationSell6.4·$135.34+1.20%
Open full analysis

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more

$135.34+15.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#13 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.94%
IncomeYield3.84%(5y avg 5.14%)Payout702.70%at-risk
Stop $126.34Target $156.09(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$173.44+28.1%16 analysts
$156.09our TP
$135.34price
$173.44mean
$224

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin
Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn-1.3%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth38.5%
Beta0.36
Dividend3.84%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
  • HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Obv
4.6
Rsi
5.5
Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Current Ratio
4.1
Gross Margin
5.4
Fcf Quality
5.8
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 9%, FCF yield 5.9%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.25Resistance $150.63

Price Targets

$126
$156
A.Upside+15.3%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $126.34. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHRD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $156.09 (+15.3% upside). Prior stop was $126.34. Stop-loss: $126.34.

What are the risks of investing in CHRD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is CHRD overvalued or undervalued?

Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHRD?

23 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $173.

What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...

Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) · VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.)
Home Stocks CHRD

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d ago
MSN48d ago
Yahoo Finance48d ago
MSN48d agoEarnings
MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
GuruFocus47d ago
The Globe and Mail44d ago
MarketBeat50d ago
MarketBeat42d ago
MarketBeat43d ago
StockStory43d agoEarnings
TipRanks45d ago
Stock Titan45d ago
Benzinga19d ago
Benzinga24d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga59d agoAnalyst
Loading more...