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Check Point Software Technologi (CHKP) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions.... Read more

$114.29+58.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#36 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $108.86Target $177.80(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$193.26+69.1%31 analysts
$177.80our TP
$114.29price
$193.26mean
$260

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$11.7B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn38.4%
ROE38.0%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts45

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$100-12.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (5.6x avg) on selloff

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.2
Revenue Growth
3.7
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $112.23Resistance $151.85

Price Targets

$109
$178
A.Upside+55.6%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHKP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $177.80 (+55.6%), stop $108.86 (−5.0%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHKP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $177.80 (+58.1% upside). Target $177.80 (+55.6%), stop $108.86 (−5.0%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $108.86.

What are the risks of investing in CHKP?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CHKP overvalued or undervalued?

Check Point Software Technologi trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHKP?

45 analysts cover CHKP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $193.

What does Check Point Software Technologi do?Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security...

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions. The company offers Mesh Network Security, which comprises Firewall, Maestro Hyperscale Firewall, Firewall Software R82.10, Spark Firewall, and AI Powered Security Management for hybrid cloud, internet and perimeter gateways, and branch locations. It also provides Workspace Security Platform, including email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR security solutions across devices, browsers, SaaS apps, and remote access. In addition, the company offers Threat Exposure Management platforms comprising threat intelligence, vulnerability detection and prioritization, and safe remediation. Further, it offers AI Security platforms comprising workforce and agent security, and red teaming solutions. Additionally, the company offers cyber security services, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting and managed, security consulting, professional, and training services. The company also provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing its products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on its products. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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