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CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.Hold6.3·$67.65+1.71%
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Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRB; Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC.

Citizens Financial Group operates retail and commercial banking across more than 1,000 branches in 14 states and D.C., primarily in New England, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Midwest, with $226.4 billion in total assets and $183.3 billion in deposits at year-end 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$67.65-1.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#26 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.77%(5y avg 4.13%)Payout41.71%sustainable
Stop $64.55Target $66.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$73.28+8.3%16 analysts
$66.52our TP
$67.65price
$73.28mean
$63
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRB; Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

About Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Citizens Financial Group held $226.4 billion in total assets, $183.3 billion in total deposits, and $26.3 billion in total stockholders' equity at December 31, 2025. The company's banking subsidiary, Citizens Bank, N.A. (CBNA), operates more than 1,000 branches and 3,100 ATMs across a 14-state footprint concentrated in New England, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Midwest, with the holding company regulated by the Federal Reserve Board and CBNA regulated at the bank level by the OCC.

Citizens Financial Group generates revenue through two segments: Consumer Banking, which serves individuals, small businesses, and high-net-worth clients via deposits, mortgage, home equity, education loans, and wealth management products; and Commercial Banking, which serves middle-market and mid-corporate clients with lending, treasury management, capital markets, and advisory services. The company funds itself primarily through customer deposits, which the 10-K describes as the bank's 'primary stable and low-cost source of funding,' supplemented by FHLB borrowings, securitizations, and repurchase agreements. Net interest income is subject to asset-liability mismatch risk: if funding costs rise faster than asset yields, or if rates fall faster than deposit repricing, net interest margin may compress. Citizens competes against large regional banks and national institutions, as well as non-bank lenders, private credit providers, and FinTech platforms that face fewer regulatory constraints and can offer higher deposit rates due to lower cost structures.

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Citizens Financial Group and CBNA are each classified under Category IV of the Federal Reserve's Tailoring Rules — the least restrictive of the four categories — based on asset size and risk indicators. The FRB imposes an institution-specific stress capital buffer on top of the three minimum risk-based capital ratios; failure to maintain the effective minimums would constrain dividends and share repurchases. If CFG were to lose financial holding company status — for instance, by failing to meet minimum capital standards — the FRB could order divestiture of banking subsidiaries or restrict activities permissible only for financial holding companies, not ordinary bank holding companies.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Citizens Financial Group, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRB
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$28.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.0%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.02
Dividend2.77%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$45-33.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFRB
    10-K Item 1: 'our primary federal regulator is the FRB'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'CBNA is our banking subsidiary, whose primary federal regulator is the OCC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.74Resistance $67.88

Price Targets

$65
$67
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CFG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRB; Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $66.52 (-1.7%), stop $64.55 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CFG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.52 (-1.7% upside). Target $66.52 (-1.7%), stop $64.55 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $64.55.

What are the risks of investing in CFG?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRB; Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CFG overvalued or undervalued?

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CFG?

22 analysts cover CFG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $73.

What does Citizens Financial Group, Inc. do?Citizens Financial Group operates retail and commercial banking across more than 1,000 branches in 14 states and D.C.,...

Citizens Financial Group operates retail and commercial banking across more than 1,000 branches in 14 states and D.C., primarily in New England, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Midwest, with $226.4 billion in total assets and $183.3 billion in deposits at year-end 2025. Revenue comes from net interest income, fees, and capital markets activity across Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking segments.

Related stocks: IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · NU (Nu Holdings Ltd.) · NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.)
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