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CEPUCentral Puerto S.A.Sell7.1·$15.96+5.70%
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Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. At $15.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of... Read more

$15.96+14.5% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#1 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-18017.83%
Stop $14.84Target $18.27(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$21.50+34.7%4 analysts
$18.27our TP
$15.96price
$21.50mean
$24

Sell if holding. At $15.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.7
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA1.2
Profit Mgn36.7%
ROE19.3%
Rev Growth63.1%
Beta-0.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C16.83bearish
IV111%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
7.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.59Resistance $16.39

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CEPU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.84. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CEPU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.27 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.84. Stop-loss: $14.84.

What are the risks of investing in CEPU?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CEPU overvalued or undervalued?

Central Puerto S.A. trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CEPU?

9 analysts cover CEPU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Central Puerto S.A. do?Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments:...

Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants. The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbines, and solar panels. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · EDN (Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci) · MGEE (MGE Energy Inc.) · KEP (Korea Electric Power Corporatio) · CMS (CMS Energy Corporation)
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