Value
9.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.5 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.07
- ▸Attractively valued
CEPU · Why this verdict
Why Central Puerto (CEPU) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score7.0/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.4 |
| ROA | 4.1 |
| Gross margin | 3.2 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 37%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -96% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 63% YoY
Momentum
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 7.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 37%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
8.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.1 |
| quality rank | 9.8 |
| growth rank | 9.7 |
- ▸Best in class
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.8 |
| support resistance | 2.5 |
| 52w position | 6.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.8 |
| days to cover | 9.8 |
| volatility | 0.5 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 8.9 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 16.83
- ▸High IV: 102%
Catalyst
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.3>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:61d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.2<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.24
Upside
+16.5%
Downside
13.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.3B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.3>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Catalyst at 3.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 9.3, and Peer rank at 8.4; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.3, Technical at 3.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.24 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.