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CBRECBRE Group IncSell5.8·$134.00+1.58%
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CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities management, and investment management—across four segments in more than 100 countries, serving nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies in 2025. Revenue comes from advisory... Read more

$134.00+16.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.80%
Stop $125.51Target $155.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$178.58+33.3%12 analysts
$155.37our TP
$134.00price
$178.58mean
$200

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CBRE Group Inc

About CBRE Group Inc

The largest commercial real estate services firm by 2025 revenue, CBRE Group operated across 100+ countries with 155,000 employees and $155.5 billion in assets under management through CBRE Investment Management at December 31, 2025. Approximately 43.6% of 2025 revenue was transacted in foreign currencies. Trammell Crow Company, CBRE's development arm, carried over $29.5 billion in in-process development projects. CBRE's client base in 2025 included nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies.

CBRE earns revenue through four segments: Advisory Services (leasing commissions, capital markets fees, loan origination and servicing), Building Operations & Experience (multi-year enterprise facilities management contracts anchored by Fortune 500 corporate clients, plus property management fees), Project Management (fee-for-service program and project management through Turner & Townsend, now 70%-owned after the January 2025 merger with the former wholly-owned CBRE project management business), and Real Estate Investments (management fees and performance fees on $155.5 billion AUM plus development co-investment income through Trammell Crow). CBRE Capital Markets originates and services commercial real estate loans as an approved seller/servicer for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, earning fee income contingent on GSE origination volumes. Many Building Operations & Experience contracts may be canceled by clients with as little as 30 to 60 days' notice, and currency fluctuations may weigh on reported revenues given that 43.6% of 2025 revenue was denominated in non-U.S. currencies.

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A significant portion of CBRE's loan origination and servicing revenue depends on the company's approved-seller/servicer status with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the 10-K warns that failure to comply with GSE eligibility requirements—including participation in loss-sharing and repurchase arrangements—could result in termination of approval to sell and service GSE loans. The U.S. federal government represents a growing client segment through CBRE Government & Defense Services (formerly J&J Worldwide Services), where contracting carries uncapped liability exposure, heightened ethical requirements, and debarment risk for noncompliance—distinct risks from the commercial client base that represents the majority of Advisory Services revenue.

See also: Real Estate · Real Estate Services

From CBRE Group Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — CBRE Group Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.5
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$39.1B
EV/EBITDA22.2
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth18.6%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyFannie Mae and Freddie Mac
    10-K Item 1A: 'depends upon our relationship with the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac)'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign currencies44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 43.6% of our revenue was transacted in foreign currencies'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    On March 20, 2026, CBRE's board adopted the Second Amended and Restated Change in Control and Severance Plan, reducing cash severance multipliers outside the Change in Control Protection Period. Effective March 20, 2026; adverse changes to existing participants deferred to March 20, 2027.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.6
Roa
1.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Roe
5.2
Moat
5.4
Fcf Quality
6.2
No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.2
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
5.3
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $121.69Resistance $137.49

Price Targets

$126
$155
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $125.51. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.37 (+16.5% upside). Prior stop was $125.51. Stop-loss: $125.51.

What are the risks of investing in CBRE?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is CBRE overvalued or undervalued?

CBRE Group Inc trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CBRE?

20 analysts cover CBRE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $179.

What does CBRE Group Inc do?CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities...

CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities management, and investment management—across four segments in more than 100 countries, serving nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies in 2025. Revenue comes from advisory commissions, management fees, and performance fees on $155.5 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025, with 155,000+ employees globally.

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