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JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedSell6.5·$333.34
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four straight earnings beats averaging over 10% upside surprise point to a business with consistent execution, yet below-average free cash flow conversion and a confirmed death cross leave the setup mixed — the risk/reward favors patience over a new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Discipline↑Improving
  • Economic Moat Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Geometry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. At $333.34, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company... Read more

$333.34+6.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.78%
Stop $310.01Analyst target $356.00(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$409.20+22.8%10 analysts
$356.00Analyst target
$333.34price
$409.20mean
$463

Sell if holding. At $333.34, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$15.3B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
Gap
3.0
52w Position
6.9
Extreme gap up (5.0%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $286.49Resistance $337.57

Price Targets

$310
$356
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JLL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $333.34, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $310.01. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JLL stock price target?

Analyst target: $356.00 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $310.01. Stop-loss: $310.01.

What are the risks of investing in JLL?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is JLL overvalued or undervalued?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JLL?

17 analysts cover JLL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $409.

What does Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated do?Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management,...

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company earns fees tied to transaction values, managed square footage (~2.9 billion sq ft), and investment management AUM ($86.4 billion), complemented by servicing a $140.3 billion loan portfolio.

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