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CIGIColliers International Group InSell5.6·$93.35+2.37%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A real-estate services firm with a Piotroski score of 7 out of 9 and free cash flow running at 2.76 times reported net income trades at a 34.5% discount to the consensus price target, offering a 5.1-to-1 reward/risk ratio; the principal obstacle is a confirmed price downtrend — moving averages have crossed bearishly and declined 6.1% over the past 30 days — combined with two consecutive earnings misses that have stalled near-term re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Substantial Analyst Upside Favorable AsymmetryImproving
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death CrossDeteriorating
  • Strong Cash Conversion Balance SheetStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Colliers International Group In (CIGI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Colliers International Group Inc. provides commercial real estate, engineering, and investment management solutions in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, the United Kingdom, Poland, China, India, and internationally. The company offers capital markets services for... Read more

$93.35+29.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 18 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.23%
IncomeYield0.32%(5y avg 0.24%)Payout14.22%
Stop $87.78Target $121.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$139.22+49.1%9 analysts
$121.12our TP
$93.35price
$139.22mean
$160

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.2
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE7.8%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta1.25
Dividend0.32%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $90.50Resistance $111.20

Price Targets

$88
$121
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $87.78. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the CIGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $121.12 (+29.8% upside). Prior stop was $87.78. Stop-loss: $87.78.

What are the risks of investing in CIGI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is CIGI overvalued or undervalued?

Colliers International Group In trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIGI?

14 analysts cover CIGI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Colliers International Group In do?Colliers International Group Inc. provides commercial real estate, engineering, and investment management solutions in...

Colliers International Group Inc. provides commercial real estate, engineering, and investment management solutions in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, the United Kingdom, Poland, China, India, and internationally. The company offers capital markets services for property sales, debt finance, mortgage investment banking, and landlord and tenant representation services; and outsourcing services, such as building operations and maintenance, facilities management, lease administration, property accounting and financial reporting, contract and construction management, valuation and appraisal review and management, portfolio or single asset valuation, financial reporting advisory, arbitration consulting, research, highest and best use studies, property tax reviews, appeals and litigation support, and occupier services, as well as loan servicing. It also engages in the planning, designing, and project management of assets, including bridges and structure, highway and traffic engineering, construction engineering and inspection, water, traffic planning, and rail; and provision of air quality assessments, brownfield redevelopment, environmental impact assessments, ground water resource development, site remediation, noise studies, land development and monitoring, and other services, as well as water, storm, and wastewater management services. In addition, the company offers project management services, which include bid document review, construction monitoring and delivery management, contract administration and integrated cost control, development management, facility and engineering functionality, milestone and performance monitoring, quality assurance, risk management and strategic project consulting; and perpetual funds, long-dated funds, and separately managed accounts. Colliers International Group Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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