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CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.Sell6.0·$27.54
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This real estate information services business delivers 22% revenue growth and beats earnings by an average of nearly 21% across four consecutive quarters, supported by a wide economic moat and exceptional free cash flow conversion — but a confirmed price downtrend with a death cross in force blocks a constructive entry; the 37.2% upside to analyst targets and a highly favorable risk/reward ratio of 8.86-to-1 make this a high-priority name to revisit once the technical backdrop stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Discipline↑Improving
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms... Read more

$27.54+17.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.70%
Stop $26.05Analyst target $32.27(−10% haircut)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst consensus$35.85+30.2%20 analysts
$32.27Analyst target
$27.54price
$35.85mean
$50

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 117d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 23, 2027117d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)64.0
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA32.7
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta0.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$20-27.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    On March 15, 2026, CoStar Group's Board appointed Nana Banerjee as a new director, effective immediately. No committee assignment named at time of appointment. No departure of existing director cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
2.0
Macd
2.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.8%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (3.0x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 117d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.86Resistance $35.63

Price Targets

$26
$32
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-23 (117d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.05. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSGP stock price target?

Analyst target: $32.27 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.05. Stop-loss: $26.05.

What are the risks of investing in CSGP?

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CSGP overvalued or undervalued?

CoStar Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 64.0 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSGP?

28 analysts cover CSGP with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $36.

What does CoStar Group, Inc. do?CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally...

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms of at least one year) and transaction fees; the company states its revenue streams are highly diversified with no dependence on any one customer.

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