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BTEBaytex Energy CorpSell5.3·$4.71-4.07%
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality.

Baytex Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It offers light oil and condensate, heavy oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company also holds... Read more

$4.71+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#25 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-14.63%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 9.94%)Payout32.14%sustainable
Stop $4.43Target $5.25(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Baytex Energy Corp

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn-49.8%
ROE-10.7%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.58
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
4.7

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.0
Current Ratio
7.5
Cash-burning: FCF -35% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 134.0%
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.57Resistance $5.36

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.25 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $4.43. Stop-loss: $4.43.

What are the risks of investing in BTE?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is BTE overvalued or undervalued?

Baytex Energy Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTE?

14 analysts cover BTE with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does Baytex Energy Corp do?Baytex Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and...

Baytex Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It offers light oil and condensate, heavy oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company also holds 100% interest in Duvernay and Peace River properties in Alberta; and Lloydminster property in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Baytex Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Benzinga39d agoEarnings