Baytex Energy Corp (BTE) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BTE stock price target?

Take-profit $5.04 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $4.62.

Q: Is BTE overvalued or undervalued?

Baytex Energy Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BTE?

15 analysts cover BTE with a consensus score of 3.5/5.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$4.97+1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#13 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P

Stop $4.62Target $5.04(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.97: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-19.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)17.5

Mkt Cap$3.7B

EV/EBITDA4.3

Profit Mgn-40.8%

ROE-8.4%

Rev Growth—

Beta0.68

Dividend1.28%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish

IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.715%1.30

Quality3.615%0.54

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum6.410%0.64

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.910%0.59

Peer Rank2.610%0.26

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile5.85%0.29

Catalyst3.85%0.19

Overall (Σ contributions)6.16

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.7

Value Rank

4.7

Growth Rank

5.0

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Roa

0.5

Operating Margin

1.7

Moat

5.0

Gross Margin

7.2

Piotroski F

8.9

Current Ratio

9.4

Cash-burning: FCF -51% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

4.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Dividend

10.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 6 daysDividend: 128.0%

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

69 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.92Resistance $5.14

Price Targets

A.Upside+1.4%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-19.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.04% of cap)

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.97: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $4.62. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.04 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $4.62. Stop-loss: $4.62.

What are the risks of investing in BTE?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-19.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Is BTE overvalued or undervalued?

Baytex Energy Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTE?

15 analysts cover BTE with a consensus score of 3.5/5.

What does Baytex Energy Corp do?Baytex Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and...

Baytex Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It offers light oil and condensate, heavy oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company also holds 100% interest in Duvernay and Peace River properties in Alberta; and Lloydminster property in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Baytex Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.