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Box, Inc. (BOX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.73: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Box provides a leading Intelligent Content Management SaaS platform that securely manages the unstructured content lifecycle—from creation through sharing, workflow, e-signature, classification, and retention—for large enterprises. As of January 31, 2026, its net retention rate... Read more

$24.73+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#64 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $23.00Target $28.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$32.25+30.4%8 analysts
$28.06our TP
$24.73price
$32.25mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.73: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.7
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA-48.8
Profit Mgn-19.8%
ROE-575.8%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$17-31.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
4.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
2.7
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.34Resistance $25.22

Price Targets

$23
$28
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.73: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $23.00. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.06 (+13.5% upside). Prior stop was $23.00. Stop-loss: $23.00.

What are the risks of investing in BOX?

Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is BOX overvalued or undervalued?

Box, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.7 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOX?

14 analysts cover BOX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Box, Inc. do?Box provides a leading Intelligent Content Management SaaS platform that securely manages the unstructured content...

Box provides a leading Intelligent Content Management SaaS platform that securely manages the unstructured content lifecycle—from creation through sharing, workflow, e-signature, classification, and retention—for large enterprises. As of January 31, 2026, its net retention rate was approximately 104%, reflecting strong customer expansion; the platform integrates with more than 1,500 leading business applications.

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