BlackLine, Inc. (BL) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BL stock price target?

Take-profit $45.31 (+35.4% upside). Prior stop was $31.13.

Q: Is BL overvalued or undervalued?

BlackLine, Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.1 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BL?

24 analysts cover BL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $52.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Financial Close & Consolidation solutions.

BlackLine provides a cloud-based financial close and accounts receivable automation platform (Studio360) for mid-size and enterprise finance and accounting teams globally. Revenue comes primarily from subscriptions to Financial Close & Consolidation and invoice-to-cash... Read more

$33.50+35.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#79 of 96 Software - Application

Stop $31.13Target $45.31(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1

Analyst target$52.08+55.5%13 analysts

$45.31our TP

$33.50price

$52.08mean

$70

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Financial Close & Consolidation solutions. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Analyst upside: 35%

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Financial Close & Consolidation solutions

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5

Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.1

P/E (Fwd)11.3

Mkt Cap$1.9B

EV/EBITDA33.9

Profit Mgn3.5%

ROE6.4%

Rev Growth8.1%

Beta0.88

DividendNone

Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish

IV93%elevated

Max Pain$18-47.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductFinancial Close & Consolidation solutions
10-K Item 1A: 'We currently derive, and expect to continue to derive, a majority of our revenue from our Financial Close & Consolidation solutions.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-10Item 1.01MEDIUM
BlackLine entered cooperation agreement with activist investor Engaged Capital on March 9, 2026. Board expanded to 14; two new directors appointed. Engaged Capital agrees to vote for Board nominees during Restricted Period.
SEC filing →
2026-03-10Item 5.02LOW
Megan Prichard appointed Class II Director (term to 2027) and Storm Duncan appointed Class III Director (term to 2028) as part of cooperation agreement with Engaged Capital. Both assigned to Board committees.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.915%1.03

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth4.515%0.67

Momentum5.810%0.58

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank2.610%0.26

Technical Setup3.25%0.16

Risk Profile3.95%0.20

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.18

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

1.9

Quality Rank

4.0

Value Rank

4.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

1.2

Bollinger

2.7

Support Resistance

4.1

Gap

5.0

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

59 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.78Resistance $36.77

Price Targets

$31

$45

A.Upside+35.3%

A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Financial Close & Consolidation solutions. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $31.13. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the BL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.31 (+35.4% upside). Prior stop was $31.13. Stop-loss: $31.13.

What are the risks of investing in BL?

Concentration risk — Product: Financial Close & Consolidation solutions; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is BL overvalued or undervalued?

BlackLine, Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.1 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BL?

24 analysts cover BL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $52.

What does BlackLine, Inc. do?BlackLine provides a cloud-based financial close and accounts receivable automation platform (Studio360) for mid-size...