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Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH-A) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1537.54: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States. The company owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. It also engages in underwriting commercial truck... Read more

$1537.54+22.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#16 of 20 Restaurants
Stop $1481.03Target $1875.72(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1537.54: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn-9.5%
ROE-6.8%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Operating Margin
1.4
Gross Margin
3.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.3
Piotroski F
10.0
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)INSIDER 0.29%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1526.84Resistance $1914.00

Price Targets

$1481
$1876
A.Upside+22.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BH-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1537.54: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $1481.03. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BH-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1875.72 (+22.0% upside). Prior stop was $1481.03. Stop-loss: $1481.03.

What are the risks of investing in BH-A?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BH-A overvalued or undervalued?

Biglari Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BH-A?

6 analysts cover BH-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Biglari Holdings Inc. do?Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States....

Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States. The company owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. It also engages in underwriting commercial truck insurance, including selling physical damage and non-trucking liability insurance to truckers; and property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. In addition, the company operates oil and natural gas properties offshore in Louisiana state waters and in the Permian Basin; and publishes, licenses, and sells magazines under the MAXIM brand names. Further, it involved investment activities. The company was formerly known as The Steak n Shake Company and changed its name to Biglari Holdings Inc. in April 2010. Biglari Holdings Inc. was founded in 1934 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.

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