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JMKEJersey Mike's Subs Inc.Sell5.6·$21.80-0.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

JMKE combines strong balance-sheet quality with a growth-adjusted cheap valuation, but momentum and asymmetry gates have both failed, options positioning shows an elevated put/call skew, and insiders have been net sellers on balance.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Quality Perfect PiotroskiImproving
  • Cheap Growth Adjusted ValuationDeteriorating
  • Momentum Asymmetry Gates FailedImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.80: Elevated risk factors; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party... Read more

$21.80+15.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 33 Restaurants
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
Stop $20.19Target $25.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$27.95+28.2%24 analysts
$25.16our TP
$21.80price
$27.95mean
$15
$40

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.80: Elevated risk factors; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA21.1
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.44bearish
IV77%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesINSIDER 29.95%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $19.86Resistance $24.47

Price Targets

$20
$25
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 29.95%=extreme

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for JMKE.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JMKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.80: Elevated risk factors; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.19. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JMKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.16 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.19. Stop-loss: $20.19.

What are the risks of investing in JMKE?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is JMKE overvalued or undervalued?

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JMKE?

31 analysts cover JMKE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. do?Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants...

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party delivery. It operates stores in the United States and Canada, as well as franchise agreements in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.

Related stocks: ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · WING (Wingstop Inc.) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · QSR (Restaurant Brands International) · YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.)
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